Friday, January 21, 2011

Is China trying to divide U.S. and Europe?

Banning Garrett says China vice premier ended recent Europe visit with deals to invest there 
Chinese President Hu Jintao met with President Barack Obama this week, the wake of Vice Premier Li Keqiang charm offensive in Europe earlier this month.

Li, the future prime minister has received offers to buy government bonds in Europe, buying goods and European investments in European countries.

If the United States - and Europe - are afraid that China can successfully use the growing economic weight in Europe, insert a wedge between the traditional allies of the 'Atlantic?

Not necessarily. First, the use of Beijing's economic ties to Europe to play against the United States is nothing new. For years, China buys American-owned aircraft movement European rival Airbus Boeing, in an effort to pressure the U.S. on its human rights policies toward China and its relations with Taiwan.

Li trip and the role of Chinese scroll in the European economy will undoubtedly increase the political influence of China with the European nations, which in turn may face strong pressure from Beijing to lift the embargo of EU on arms sales to China, which was created after the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown policy.

But the reverse of the 2004 EU plan to lift the ban after Washington objected to the fact that Europeans were not considered strategic and military implications, in particular the possibility the weapons used in the U.S. conflict with China over Taiwan.

Taking another run in the contested measure is unlikely in the near future, despite pressure from Beijing to end what the Chinese see it as an "insult" that hinders the development of political and economic ties.

Why? Despite China's diplomatic show in recent weeks, the distrust of China and its strategic intent is increasing in Europe and the U.S.. In addition, China is increasing economic ties with Europe in its economic relations with the United States, is a double-edged sword. China can gain economic clout, but it is also linked its economic future of Europe, which limits the options for Beijing.

In fact, in the long term, China's closer economic ties with Europe may be strategically useful to the West with two critical points: first, Chinese investment in Europe, including the purchase of bonds of the State on the brink -on-the-financial, such as Spain, which can help prevent worsening of the debt crisis that could jeopardize the economic recovery and the stability and future of the euro zone.

Second, China's investment in Europe - either in the form of bond purchases, mergers and acquisitions or direct investment - to increase China's share in the health and growth of the European economy. On both fronts, China is also linking its future to the future of the global economy and in particular to the economic success of Europe.

The current trend is a growing mutual distrust and a vision of zero-sum relations. But the links with Europe and the U.S. with China to deteriorate in an adversarial relationship that primarily affect the strategic interests of all parties at a time when many challenges in the world in the long run - the management of the global economy to tackle climate change and meet the shortage imminent resources - require global cooperation, especially among the most powerful nations.

Fortunately, the Chinese leadership, U.S. and Europe continue to emphasize that we are "in the same boat" and should work together to tackle global challenges. The problem is that this perception is not always repeated - or supported - at levels below their respective governments and the military, it is not always implement the policy.

We are in a period of deep uncertainty, the U.S. and Europe are mixed signals coming from China. It is more important than ever that the United States and Europe to coordinate their policies towards China in order to minimize the impact of China's efforts to break the transatlantic allies.

This coordination must extend beyond the end of the defense, however, and try to improve the participation of China in a constructive and comprehensive dialogue to improve global governance and addressing global challenges.

Despite Beijing's nationalist assertiveness in recent years, China is deeply dependent on the global economy for economic growth in the short term and long term. China needs European cooperation and advance U.S. interests.

Some Chinese leaders, particularly in the People's Liberation Army, China can use the rapid economic growth and increased military capabilities "Bully" neighbors and resolve conflicts on terms favorable to China. But their posturing has proved to be politically productive cons of their neighbors and with most countries, including European governments and public.

Beijing can not afford to alienate Europe and the United States - much less its Asian neighbors - which is deeply involved in an economically and on which it depends for its future growth and political stability. For its part, the United States and Europe have common interests against the Chinese "divide and conquer" strategy, but pushing China toward a more cooperative attitude in the world.

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